{"id":6574,"date":"2020-05-01T16:22:41","date_gmt":"2020-05-01T20:22:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/?p=6574"},"modified":"2022-04-06T15:04:57","modified_gmt":"2022-04-06T19:04:57","slug":"may-2020-pullback","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/may-2020-pullback\/","title":{"rendered":"Rally Pullback or Exhaustion? Watch Leading Stocks at 20-day Moving Averages"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"561\" height=\"385\" src=\"https:\/\/new.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/rally-pause.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6604\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/rally-pause-110x75.png 110w, https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/rally-pause-300x206.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 561px) 100vw, 561px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The April stock market rally was impressive, but can it carry into May? The performance of leading stocks next week is key. <\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>The past several months in the stock market were a wild ride, as stocks got slaughtered throughout late February and early March, then reversed sharply higher in a &#8220;V-shaped&#8221; recovery that began in late March.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fortunately, our rule-based market timing system kept subscribers completely <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"in cash and on the sidelines (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/new.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/relative-strength-stocks-march-2020\/#sell-off\" target=\"_blank\">in cash and on the sidelines<\/a> during the March melee.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then, in early April, we carefully began jumping back into the market because the price and volume action in leading growth stocks was encouraging. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Those bullish chart patterns were not perfect, but were good enough to begin putting money to work on the long side. Specifically, many quality stocks began breaking out on strong volume from  decent <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/new.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/best-stock-breakouts\/\" target=\"_blank\">basing patterns<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many stocks only managed to recover a portion of their previous losses in the March rally, but bullishness in the form of leadership and breakouts to new highs also began emerging in top stocks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_82_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">TABLE OF CONTENTS<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/may-2020-pullback\/#Just_a_pause_or_changing_of_the_guard\" >Just a pause or changing of the guard?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/may-2020-pullback\/#Four_leading_stocks_to_watch_as_they_test_their_20-day_EMAs\" >Four leading stocks to watch as they test their 20-day EMAs<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/may-2020-pullback\/#Amazon_AMZN\" >Amazon ($AMZN)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/may-2020-pullback\/#Netflix_NFLX\" >Netflix ($NFLX)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/may-2020-pullback\/#Advanced_Micro_Devices_AMD\" >Advanced Micro Devices ($AMD)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/may-2020-pullback\/#Insulet_Corp_PODD\" >Insulet Corp. ($PODD)<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Just_a_pause_or_changing_of_the_guard\"><\/span>Just a pause or changing of the guard?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>By late April (especially on April 27-28), many leading stocks began failing to moving higher after normal, short-term pauses. Weaker stocks began breaking down below their 10-day moving averages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many of these stocks also did not respond well to quarterly earnings reports that started getting released over the past week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This lack of upside follow-through is now a concern and has forced us to raise cash in our <em><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"Wagner Daily (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Wagner Daily<\/strong><\/a><\/em> model portfolio (especially after this morning&#8217;s action). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on the negative price action of the past few days, stocks may be off to a rough start in May.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, before throwing in the towel on this rally, we will be closely observing<strong> how recent pullbacks to the 20-day moving averages play out<\/strong> in the coming week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Below are annotated charts of a four key, leading stocks we are monitoring for signs of the recent rally&#8217;s health.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Four_leading_stocks_to_watch_as_they_test_their_20-day_EMAs\"><\/span>Four leading stocks to watch as they test their 20-day EMAs<br \/><br \/><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Amazon_AMZN\"><\/span>Amazon ($AMZN)<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-gallery columns-1 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"766\" height=\"852\" src=\"https:\/\/new.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/AMZN.jpg\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"6576\" data-link=\"https:\/\/new.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/?attachment_id=6576\" class=\"wp-image-6576\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/AMZN-99x110.jpg 99w, https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/AMZN-270x300.jpg 270w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 766px) 100vw, 766px\" \/><\/figure><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Netflix_NFLX\"><\/span>Netflix ($NFLX)<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"765\" height=\"852\" src=\"https:\/\/new.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/NFLX.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6578\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/NFLX-99x110.jpg 99w, https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/NFLX-269x300.jpg 269w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 765px) 100vw, 765px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Advanced_Micro_Devices_AMD\"><\/span>Advanced Micro Devices ($AMD)<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"766\" height=\"852\" src=\"https:\/\/new.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/AMD.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6580\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/AMD-99x110.jpg 99w, https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/AMD-270x300.jpg 270w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 766px) 100vw, 766px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Insulet_Corp_PODD\"><\/span>Insulet Corp. ($PODD)<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>$PODD is still hanging in there but reports earnings on May 7.  It may be one to watch for a post-earnings move higher:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"765\" height=\"852\" src=\"https:\/\/new.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/PODD.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6582\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/PODD-99x110.jpg 99w, https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/PODD-269x300.jpg 269w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 765px) 100vw, 765px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>As we enter the month of May on the tail end of a massive rally, please remember one of the most important mantras in trading and investing:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Trade what you see, not what you think!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Successful traders constantly <em>react<\/em> to price action, rather than trying to predict it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Leave your ego at the door and follow that advice to stay out of trouble during market reversals, and consistently profit in favorable conditions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The April stock market rally was impressive, but can it carry into May? The performance of leading stocks next week is key. The past several months in the stock market were a wild ride, as stocks got slaughtered throughout late February and early March, then reversed sharply higher in a &#8220;V-shaped&#8221; recovery that began in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6574","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-trading-strategy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6574","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6574"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6574\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11164,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6574\/revisions\/11164"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}