{"id":2918,"date":"2013-07-31T10:02:44","date_gmt":"2013-07-31T14:02:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/blog\/?p=2918"},"modified":"2023-01-24T11:24:29","modified_gmt":"2023-01-24T16:24:29","slug":"10-day-moving-average-support","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/10-day-moving-average-support\/","title":{"rendered":"How To Use The 10-Day Moving Average To Maximize Your Trading Profits"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Swing traders rely on a diverse arsenal of technical indicators when analyzing stocks, and there are literally hundreds of indicators to choose from. But how is a new trader supposed to know which indicators are most reliable? Deciding which technical indicators to use can frankly be a bit overwhelming, but it doesn&#8217;t have to be (nor should it be).<\/p>\n<p>While learning to master our <a title=\"Overview Of Our Swing Trading Strategy\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/best-swing-trading-strategy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">winning system for swing trading<\/a> stocks and ETFs in the early years, we tested a plethora of technical indicators.&nbsp;Our conclusion was that most of the technical indicators served their intended purpose of increasing the odds of a profitable stock trade. However, we quickly discovered that using too many indicators only led to <a title=\"What is analysis paralysis?\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Analysis_paralysis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">analysis paralysis<\/a>. As such, we now avoid this problem by simply focusing on the tried and true basics of technical trading: <em>price, volume, and support\/resistance levels.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>One of the easiest and most effective ways to find support and resistance levels is through the use of <a title=\"What Is A Moving Average?\" href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/university\/movingaverage\/movingaverages1.asp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>moving averages<\/em><\/a>.&nbsp;<\/strong>Moving averages play a very big role in our daily stock analysis, and we rely heavily on certain moving averages to locate low-risk entry and exit points for the stocks and ETFs we swing trade.<\/p>\n<p>For gauging price momentum in the very short-term (a period of several days), we have found the 5 and 10-day moving averages work very well. If, for example, a stock or ETF is trading above its 5-day MA, there is usually no good reason to sell. One possible exception is if the stock or ETF has made a 25-30% price advance within just a few days.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The 10-day MA is a great moving average for helping us ride the trend<\/strong> with a bit more &#8220;wiggle room&#8221; than provided by the ultra short-term 5-day MA.<\/p>\n<p>For trend traders, no stocks or ETFs should be sold while they are still trading above their 10-day moving averages following a strong breakout. To understand why, compare the following daily charts of U.S. Oil Fund ($USO) and First Trust DJ Internet Index Fund ($FDN). First is $FDN:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"FDN DAILY CHART\" alt=\"$IHI TIGHT RANGE AT HIGHS\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2013\/130731FDN.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p>With the exception of a brief &#8220;shakeout&#8221; of just two days (a common and acceptable occurrence), notice that $FDN has been holding above its rising 10-day MA ever since breaking out in early July. This is a clear sign that the momentum from the breakout is still strong.<\/p>\n\n\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"580\" height=\"680\" src=\"https:\/\/4966a6ff.sibforms.com\/serve\/MUIFAOyl4S5Qdajs7q3LemJKudDbMHB24p2SAorKuWWuauy3e1eFPtLgTh5BoPCh3XzIz3rZE_YyIqvc9IEl_xMkRg3MTlG0Zn5eqY3J2eKMjOE-jPuS43ZXewKssUaGt1kllR56wV2u1lBXoYfKSzEgeeTjLyjdSao87VmqsbDtgcy4jNwHMSzf0Rl346rIoBjtZwf-DX0V6tbn\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"auto\" allowfullscreen style=\"display: block;margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;max-width: 100%;\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, notice the difference on the daily chart of $USO:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"USO DAILY CHART\" alt=\"$USO PULLBACK TO 20EMA\" src=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/~rick\/\/charts\/2013\/130731USO.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p>As you can see, $USO has failed to hold above its 10-day MA over the past week, which is a sign that bullish momentum from the recent breakout is fading. As such, we sold 25% of our existing position on July 25. It never hurts to lock in profits on partial share size when a breakout stock or ETF has broken below its 10-day moving average because such price action frequently leads to a deeper correction.<\/p>\n<p>Immediately after selling partial share size on the break of the 10-day MA, we were prepared to buy back those shares <em>if&nbsp;<\/em>the price action immediately snapped back higher within one to two days (as $FDN did). However, since that did not occur, we canceled our buy stop and continue to hold $USO with reduced share size and a small unrealized gain since the breakout entry.<\/p>\n<p>While the 5 and 10-day moving averages are by no means a complete and perfect system for exiting a position, they allow us to stay with the trend in a winning trade (which helps us to maximize our trading profits). More importantly, <strong>using the 10-day moving average as a short-term indicator of support enables us to<em>&nbsp;TRADE WHAT WE SEE, NOT WHAT WE THINK!<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>To learn our complete and winning stock trading system, check out our top-ranked <a title=\"Swing Trading Success Video Course\" href=\"https:\/\/www.morpheustrading.com\/services\/swing-trade-alerts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Swing Trading Success Video Course<\/a>. We guarantee you won&#8217;t be disappointed!<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Swing traders rely on a diverse arsenal of technical indicators when analyzing stocks, and there are literally hundreds of indicators to choose from. But how is a new trader supposed to know which indicators are most reliable? Deciding which technical indicators to use can frankly be a bit overwhelming, but it doesn&#8217;t have to be [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2918","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stock-trading-strategy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2918","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2918"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2918\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15684,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2918\/revisions\/15684"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2918"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2918"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/morpheustrading.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2918"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}